In scheme 5: is nothing special, wait and pray there will be no strike and December will not cold (non-cost approach). -With 50% probability: i.e. when no what happened, the project remains on schedule, when in December was colder conditions as forecast, the company lost about $ 165 * 4 weeks = $ 668.-With probability 35%( 8-week strike) project was delayed takes 8 weeks.+ Additional management costs: $ 500 * 8 = $ 4,000.+ Being slower than expected loss of 4 weeks (max is 52 weeks) in this time the project is completed 56 weeks. That is, the penalty is: $ 15,000 * 4 = $ 60,000. So the total money lost in December is: $ 4000 + $ 60,000 = $ 64,000-Also when 8-week strike in December, then colder conditions because were on strike so will not need heat equipment rental costs. Thus, the total money lost in December if the temperature is colder still is $ 64,000. -With probability 15%( 12-week strike) project was delayed takes 12 weeks.+ Additional management fee is $ 6,000.+ Due to the delay of lose 8 weeks compared with regulations should be fine: $ 15,000 * 8 = $ 120,000. the total money lost in December with normal conditions and temperatures are: $ 6,000 + $ 120,000 = $ 126,000 expected cost of 5 is:-In December the weather conditions normally expected costs:
đang được dịch, vui lòng đợi..